Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.467777 0.519950 0.576230 0.641562 0.715455 0.796598 0.892662
2025-03-23 0.387433 0.459686 0.543617 0.648802 0.777770 0.931597 1.130242
2025-03-30 0.335033 0.414720 0.511880 0.640002 0.805893 1.015314 1.302685
2025-04-06 0.299225 0.383213 0.489701 0.636084 0.834347 1.096799 1.475973
2025-04-13 0.263102 0.346386 0.455405 0.610483 0.828532 1.128906 1.582274
2025-04-20 0.244890 0.330834 0.446751 0.617067 0.865241 1.220475 1.779948
2025-04-27 0.229716 0.317643 0.439492 0.623890 0.901548 1.313374 1.988356
2025-05-04 0.216150 0.305282 0.431895 0.628777 0.934386 1.402966 2.200372
2025-05-11 0.203416 0.292910 0.422954 0.630304 0.961375 1.485011 2.408280
2025-05-18 0.193721 0.284143 0.418417 0.637731 0.997610 1.584305 2.655464
2025-05-25 0.179800 0.267899 0.401169 0.623397 0.996767 1.621690 2.798043
2025-06-01 0.172641 0.261506 0.398576 0.632198 1.034682 1.727565 3.075506
2025-06-08 0.162429 0.249796 0.386999 0.625641 1.046509 1.790431 3.283445
2025-06-15 0.155518 0.242901 0.382681 0.630936 1.079491 1.894470 3.584433
2025-06-22 0.146586 0.232083 0.371078 0.622539 1.086767 1.951214 3.797283
2025-06-29 0.139284 0.223474 0.362534 0.618733 1.101888 2.023868 4.051752
2025-07-06 0.128908 0.209062 0.343169 0.593923 1.075110 2.011965 4.123411
2025-07-13 0.124617 0.204761 0.340970 0.600305 1.108708 2.123414 4.480666
2025-07-20 0.120660 0.200779 0.339027 0.606916 1.143176 2.239893 4.865224
2025-07-27 0.116680 0.196504 0.336252 0.611653 1.174145 2.351976 5.255110
2025-08-03 0.112485 0.191595 0.331995 0.613132 1.198421 2.451932 5.629739
2025-08-10 0.109359 0.188425 0.330715 0.620329 1.235232 2.583211 6.101994
2025-08-17 0.103599 0.180124 0.319360 0.606439 1.225541 2.608181 6.303217